In the News

Dollar Holds Gain as Yields Firm On Powell Comments: Inside G-10

(Bloomberg, July 9) -- The greenback is holding session gains as Treasury yields firm after Fed Chair Jerome Powell, in Senate testimony, stated a desire to see inflation slow further before reducing rates.

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index is up 0.1%, with the yen lagging peers as yields rise
    • US 10-year yield up three basis point to 4.31%
    • Rates moves were also influenced by Powell saying US regulators are close to agreeing to changes to plans to force big banks to hold significantly more capital
    • “Powell’s comments are balanced and policy decisions will made ‘meeting by meeting.’ The market continues to expect a September rate cut, but it’s not set in stone. A sticky inflation print could easily tilt the probabilities. So the focus in the rates market will shift to long-end supply and CPI on Thursday, unless he says something unexpected in the Q&A.” according to Subadra Rajappa at Societe Generale
    • Helen Given at Monex says markets could see more volatility during the Q&A section as Powell is grilled on policy outlook,” but for now, he did a good job of not rocking the boat.”
  • USD/JPY rises 0.4%, most in a week, to 161.38 amid rising Treasury yields and buying ahead of the London fix; gains also follow $1.5 billion of 160 option expiries
    • The Bank of Japan will speak face-to-face with market participants over the next couple of days to gauge a realistic pace for a reduction of its bond purchases to be announced later this month
  • EUR/USD down for a second day, slipping 0.1% to 1.0810 amid slumping bond and share prices in Europe
    • Unions at ADP, which run Paris’ CDG and Orly airports, put in strike notices for July 17, according to statement from the CGT, CFDT, FO and UNSA unions.
    • Drop is slowed by low levels of volatility and limited volume
    • European Central Bank Governing Council member Mario Centeno commented on the “current pace of the easing trajectory” via Econostream Media
  • GBP/USD slightly lower at 1.2790 in relatively active real money and bank trading
    • Reports indicate British consumers reined in retail spending in June during a cold spell failed to move the needle
  • AUD/USD slips 0.2% to 0.6727 amid weakness in commodity prices and session low for the offshore yuan
    • Kiwi is down 0.2% and overnight volatility rises to its highest level since May against the Australian dollar as a Reserve Bank of New Zealand policy decision nears.
  • Some information comes from FX traders familiar with the transactions who asked not to be identified because they aren’t authorized to speak publicly
Reporting BY Robert Fullem in New York; Editors responsible for this story: Sydney Maki AND Michael B. Marois

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