The U.S. Dollar is dominant following a rally while we observed the Veteran’s Day holiday.
Overview
Indeed, the buck is now playing a major role as a safe-haven following the indication that U.S. inflationary growth is higher than expected as well as a geopolitical issue brewing with Russia as U.S. and EU allies fear a potential plan by Putin to invade Ukraine. As this develops, expect global markets to act with concern, which could naturally mean a very strong dollar for the time being. According to the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, this is the strongest buck overall in a year.This week represented the first weekly loss since the start of October. We shall see how the globe reacts to all the trouble that could spark with such a conflict, and we are certainly hopeful there is a diplomatic solution to the disagreements causing such animosity.
What to Watch Today…
- No major economic events scheduled for today
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EUR
Problems in Eastern Europe are starting to weigh quite heavily on the prospects of growth for the Euro-zone. In addition to the European Central Bank delaying policy tightening, the Euro’s value is being compromised by the potential for armed conflict in the continent. A U.S. warning to allies is worrying traders as stocks continue their decline while a physical challenge is being faced by EU-member Poland experiencing its largest influx of migrants ever at their border with Belarus.Everything from gas pipelines to old regimes trying to maintain power in midst of protests is creating a bad mix for the shared currency against the greenback. This is the weakest Euro since Summer of 2020.
GBP
Sterling fell, but it is now trying to mount a comeback based on the only positive news we have gotten out of the U.K. in months. Later this week, Brexit Minister Lord Frost and his counterpart from the EU, Maros Sefcovic will meet, in what is being dubbed as a crucial meeting for EU-U.K. relations. This year has been characterized by economic losses, but more importantly, non-pandemic related issues with trade that were born off Brexit and lack of cooperation. Most studies about Brexit now point at a future mired with losses from not being a full EU member.
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