What Happened
- Per the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, the buck managed to stay afloat by a small margin as it lost value across the board
- October proved to be a month of FX recovery and mixed ranges as risk events unfolded
- Euro experienced its first monthly gain since May as some energy fears have subsided
- Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is in after Liz Truss quit, making the shortest run ever of any PM
- A few central banks signaled a need to consider slowing down the pace of interest rate hikes
Monex USA’s View
- Any further news on China’s will to reopen and end Zero-COVID policies may lead to further USD deterioration
- OPEC+ production cuts will keep oil prices wild as the White House seeks to counter the move in repudiation as it afflicts Europe
- Sterling has already shown the ability to recover quickly and may have room to rise
- Everyone will keep a close eye on central bank commentary that leads to believe a turnaround on tightening is coming